Background Papers

Ellingsen IH, Dalpadado P, Slagstad D & Loeng H. 2007.
Impact of climatic change on the biological production in the Barents Sea (pdf)

ABSTRACT: The Barents Sea is a high latitude ecosystem and is an important nursery and feeding area for commercial fish stocks such as cod, capelin and herring. There is a large inter-annual variability both in physical and biological conditions in the Barents Sea. Understanding and predicting changes in the system requires insight into the coupled nature of the physical and biological interactions. A coupled physical and biological ocean model is used to study the impact of postulated future atmospheric changes on the physical and biological conditions in the Barents Sea. Results from this simulation not only show that there is a large variability in the physical conditions on a wide range of time scales, but also that the temperature in the Barents Sea is increasing. The corresponding ice cover decrease is most noticeable in the summer months. The changes in physical properties will most likely have an impact on the biotope. On average, the primary production increases slightly over a 65 year long period, about 8%, partly due to an increased production in the northern Barents Sea. The model further simulates that the production of Atlantic zooplankton species increases approximately 20% and becomes more abundant in the east. The Arctic zooplankton biomass decreases significantly (50%) causing the total simulated production to decrease.

Loeng H and Drinkwater K. 2007.
An overview of the ecosystems of the Barents and Norwegian Seas and their response to climate variability (pdf)

ABSTRACT: The principal features of the marine ecosystems in the Barents and Norwegian Seas and some of their responses to climate variations are described. The physical oceanography is dominated by the influx of warm, high-salinity Atlantic Waters from the south and cold, low-salinity waters from the Arctic. Seasonal ice forms in the Barents Sea with maximum coverage typically in March–April. The total mean annual primary production rates are similar in the Barents and Norwegian Seas (80–90 gCm-2), although in the Barents, the production is higher in the Atlantic than in the ice covered Arctic Waters. The zooplankton is dominated by Calanus species, C. finmarchicus in the Atlantic Waters of the Norwegian and Barents Seas, and C. glacialis in the Arctic Waters of the Barents Sea. The fish species in the Norwegian Sea are mostly pelagics such as herring (Clupea harengus) and blue whiting (Micromesistius poutassou), while in the Barents Sea there are both pelagics (capelin (Mallotus villosus Müller), herring, and polar cod (Boreogadus saida Lepechin)) and demersals (cod (Gadus morhua L.) and haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus)). The latter two species spawn in the Norwegian Sea along the slope edge (haddock) or along the coast (cod) and drift into the Barents Sea. Marine mammals and seabirds, although comprising only a relatively small percentage of the biomass and production in the region, play an important role as consumers of zooplankton and small fish. While top-down control by predators certainly is significant within the two regions, there is also ample evidence of bottom-up control. Climate variability influences the distribution of several fish species, such as cod, herring and blue whiting, with northward shifts during extended warm periods and southward movements during cool periods. Climate-driven increases in primary and secondary production also lead to increased fish production through higher abundance and improved growth rates.

Molenaar, EJ. 2009.
Arctic Fisheries Conservation and Management: Initial Steps of Reform of the International Legal Framework (pdf)

ABSTRACT: A rapid increase of global warming poses new challenges to the regulation and conservation in the Arctic marine area. There are significant gaps in the existing international and national legal and policy frameworks that fail to address adequate regulation of resource extraction including fisheries. As a result, current regional fisheries management organizations (RFMO’s) or arrangements with competence over target species other than tuna and tuna-like species and anadromous species do not currently cover a large part of the Arctic marine area. Additional challenges arise as the diminishing ice coverage opens up access to new fishing opportunities, which will attract further fishing vessels. In order to devise much needed regulations and policies that address all the complexities created by a changing climate, basic fisheries research as well the development of future scenarios about areas, dates, species, available fishing techniques and potential impacts for non target species is needed. Based on the aforementioned scientific data, options may then include individual action by Arctic Ocean coastal states and other states, bilateral or subregional arrangements between the relevant Arctic Ocean coastal states and procedures similar to an environmental impact assessment (EIA) and/or a strategic impact assessment (SEA) for new fisheries in the Arctic marine area, among others. The ultimate objective is to put into place an integrated, cross-sectoral ecosystem-based oceans management in the Arctic addressing the conservation of shared fish stocks.

Skagseth Ø, Furevik T, Ingvaldsen R et al.
Volume and heat transports to the Arctic Ocean via the Norwegian and Barents Seas (pdf)

ABSTRACT: The main aim of this paper has been to present a holistic view of the Atlantic water flow along the Norwegian Coast and into the Barents Sea. It has focused on the period starting in the mid-1990s, with simultaneous arrays of moored current meters in the Svinøy section and the Barents Sea Opening. These detailed measurements have provided the bases for improved estimates of means and variations in fluxes, and their forcing mechanisms. Mean volume and heat fluxes associated with Atlantic water in the Norwegian Atlantic Slope Current (NwASC) are 4.3 Sv and 126 TW respectively for the Svinøy section, showing no significant trends, and 1.8 Sv and 48 TW for the Barents Sea Opening, where positive trends have been found in both measures. These estimates are probably higher than the long-tem mean, since hydrographic data along the Norwegian Coast show that the periods of direct current measurements are the prolongations of a period that started in the late 1970s, since when Atlantic water has become warmer and saltier. The close resemblance, throughout the record, between temperature variations in the Kola section and the AMO-index back to the early 20th century illustrates the importance of large-scale longterm variations in the Barents Sea system. Although the magnitudes of these variations are relatively small in comparison with inter-annual variations, other studies have shown them to be of major importance for ecosystem changes (ACIA, 2005). The different forcing effects of the NwASC and the Atlantic inflow to the Barents Sea to similar atmospheric systems are noted. The results strongly suggest that the relative distribution of the Norwegian Atlantic Current entering the Barents Sea and passing through the Fram Strait is very sensitive to storm tracks. Thus, changes in the predominant storm tracks may trigger major changes, including feedback mechanisms, for the Barents Sea climate and the heat budget of the Arctic Ocean.